€117.380 The share price increased by +0.24 %   19/03/2024 11:17

Competitive position and Outlook

Concessions

Concessions Outlook

Barring exceptional events, traffic on the French motorway network should continue to prove resilient in 2024 and even increase slightly compared to 2023. Long-term growth trends show that roads are and will remain predominant in France’s transport system. They account for more than 85% of travel, and no projection scenario predicts that this figure can be brought below 80%. Traffic on road infrastructure outside France is also expected to continue growing, boosted by integration of the Brazilian highways in 2023 and extension of the network operated in Germany and the Czech Republic starting in 2024.

 

Despite differences between airports and geographical locations, traffic in the VINCI Airports network is expected to remain brisk and should slightly exceed 2019 levels overall. As shown by the rebound in activity in the majority of airports after the pandemic, structural mobility needs, particularly for VFR (visiting friends and relatives) and tourist travel, are expected to continue to drive growth in traffic in the medium and long term.

 

Building on and stepping up the pace of the initiatives already introduced, the Concessions business lines will work towards reducing the direct environmental impact of their activities and help all their stakeholders meet their shared goal of decarbonising mobility. The investment required over the coming years and decades to transform motorways and airports into low-carbon and climate-resilient infrastructure makes the concession contract model appear even more appropriate. This type of agreement provides a way of raising necessary capital without straining public debt. These changes also confirm the validity of the Group’s longterm strategy and positioning as a player at the centre of sustainable mobility challenges.

VINCI Autoroutes’ competitive position

Motorway networks under concession in Europe (in km)

Motorway networks under concession in Europe (in km)
NetworkKm
Mundys8,683
VINCI Autoroutes4,443
Eiffage2,581
Brisa1,363

Sources: internal studies, company communication.

Position in the sector

VINCI Airports is the leading private operator and the most geographically diversified, with more than 70 airports operated worldwide in 2023.
The main listed airport operators in Europe are Aena, Groupe ADP and Fraport.
In Europe, VINCI Airports operates 10 airports in Portugal (66.3 million passengers) and 12 airports in France (18.1 million passengers), including Lyon-Saint Exupéry (10.0 million passengers).
It also operates London Gatwick (40.9 million passengers) and Belfast International (6.0 million passengers) in the United Kingdom and Belgrade airport in Serbia (7.9 million passengers).
In Asia, with the closure of the Siem Reap airport in October 2023, VINCI Airports now operates two airports in Cambodia (4.0 million passengers) and holds the concession, as part of a consortium with Japanese partners, for the three airports in the Kansai region of Japan (41.5 million passengers).
In Latin America, VINCI Airports holds concessions for eight airports in Brazil (11.5 million passengers), Guanacaste airport in Costa Rica (1.7 million passengers) and six airports in the Dominican Republic (6.6 million passengers). In Chile, as part of a consortium with Groupe ADP and Webuild (formerly Astaldi), VINCI Airports operates the international airport in Santiago (23.3 million passengers). In December 2022, VINCI Airports became the largest shareholder of OMA, a group operating 13 airports in Mexico (26.8 million passengers).
In the United States, VINCI Airports operates eight(*) airports under concession or management contracts (9.9 million passengers).
As of July 2023, VINCI Airports also operates Cabo Verde’s seven airports (2.6 million passengers).

(*) Three of which are under partial management (not consolidated in the network).

Energy

Energy Outlook

Activity across the Energy business is set to remain buoyant, driven by the energy transition and the digital revolution. These two powerful fundamental trends are driving up demand for energy as well as the need for faster decarbonisation of infrastructure, buildings and industrial sites.

 

Against this backdrop and on the strength of its high order book, VINCI Energies’ revenue should see further organic growth in 2024, albeit on a smaller scale than in 2023. In addition, it will continue to benefit from the breadth of the expertise it has deployed worldwide, as well as from its ability to integrate new companies. Its proactive approach to supporting customers in their energy and digital transformation will help to sustain this momentum.

 

Cobra IS is also set to continue its growth trajectory, driven by both a good level of performance in its flow business and the ramp-up of recently won major EPC (engineering, procurement and construction) projects.
New projects will come in and enhance its renewable energy asset portfolio, which boasted 2 GW of capacity in operation or under construction at the end of 2023.

Position in the sectors

FRANCE
VINCI Energies is a major player in the French market, where it competes mainly with Equans (Bouygues), Spie, Eiffage Énergie Systèmes and SNEF.

EUROPE

VINCI Energies is a top player in Germany, where it generated revenue of over €3.1 billion in 2023, as well as in Switzerland, Scandinavia (Sweden, Finland and Norway), Belgium, the Netherlands, Spain, Portugal, the United Kingdom and Romania. In the rest of Europe, such as Austria, Italy, the Czech Republic or Poland, VINCI Energies is a significant player in certain business activities.

Cobra IS has a strong presence in Spain, its domestic market, where it generated close to €2.9 billion in revenue in 2023. Its main competitors in the engineering, construction and services sectors are Elecnor, Acciona and Técnicas Reunidas. Several large groups, such as Iberdrola, are also active in the development of renewable energy projects. Cobra IS has a long-established presence in Portugal and regularly applies its expertise elsewhere in Europe – Germany, Belgium, Scandinavia, Italy and the United Kingdom.

OUTSIDE EUROPE
VINCI Energies is a long-time player in Africa, where it is a leader in Morocco and expanding its operations in West Africa. VINCI Energies also operates in the Middle East and has a solid foothold in New Zealand and Australia, as well as in South-East Asia, with operations in Indonesia and Singapore. With the acquisition of Transelec Common Inc. in Canada in 2020 and that of PrimeLine Utility Services in 2018, VINCI Energies expanded its presence in North America. In South America, VINCI Energies mainly operates in Brazil.

Cobra IS is a long-established player in Brazil, where it regularly carries out large EPC (Engineering, Procurement and Construction) projects and develops renewable energy assets. Broadly speaking, Central and South America – especially Mexico and Peru – are key markets for Cobra IS.

Source: company literature.

Construction

Construction Outlook

The good momentum in order intake – both in recurring business and in major projects – has led to a satisfactory replenishment of the order book, which reached €32.7 billion at the end of 2023. Bolstered by the visibility this high level provides, VINCI Construction will continue taking a highly selective approach to new business and focus on improving its Ebit margin, by targeting projects that create the most value.

Despite an uncertain geopolitical and macroeconomic environment, VINCI Construction will be able to continue to chart its course by drawing on its broad spectrum of expertise, geographical diversification and organisational model. The latter combines strong local roots with the ability to mobilise teams to form networks, thus generating a wide variety of contracts ranging from local jobs and maintenance operations to large-scale projects.

In the medium and long term, VINCI Construction will continue to benefit from strong underlying trends. The energy transition will undoubtedly generate substantial opportunities in infrastructure projects – energy grids, water management, low-carbon transport, climate-resilient structures – which already account for a growing share of new business. Similarly, building and urban development activities will benefit from the focus on environmental issues and on the challenges of urbanisation and its impact on how people live and work.

Against this backdrop, the business line will accelerate the development of production and construction processes that reduce the environmental footprint of its activities and that of the buildings and infrastructure it builds. Developing a value chain for the recycling of materials and regeneration of natural environments and spaces will also lend momentum to the environmental transition, while consolidating VINCI Construction’s strong position in these markets.

Position in the sectors

SPECIALTY NETWORKS
Soletanche Freyssinet, world leader in specialist civil engineering, operates in more than 100 countries and is active on a very fragmented market. Its competitors include Trevi, Bauer and Keller in special foundations, and VSL (a Bouygues subsidiary) in prestressing and stay cable systems.

FRANCE
VINCI Construction is the leader in the building and civil engineering sectors in France, ahead of Bouygues Construction, Eiffage Construction, Fayat, NGE and Spie Batignolles. The remaining market is divided among several medium-sized regional companies (including Demathieu Bard and Léon Grosse) and a large number of small contractors. In the transport infrastructure and urban development sectors, VINCI Construction is a market leader alongside Colas (Bouygues group) and Eiffage Infrastructures. The market is otherwise shared by a large number of local and regional companies. VINCI Construction is also market leader in aggregates, where its competitors include roadworks companies and cement groups such as Holcim, GSM (HeidelbergCement group) and Cemex, along with a number of local producers.

GERMANY
VINCI Construction, through Eurovia GmbH, is one of the sector’s main players with Strabag, in a market made up mainly of regional players.

UNITED KINGDOM
VINCI Construction operates in the United Kingdom through its subsidiaries specialising in the building, civil engineering, road, long-term maintenance services (road infrastructure) and facility management (building) markets. Its main competitors are Balfour Beatty, Kier, Morgan Sindall, Laing O’Rourke, Tarmac (CRH group), Amey (Ferrovial group), FM Conway, Sir Robert McAlpine, Aggregate Industries (Holcim) and Hanson (HeidelbergCement group).

CENTRAL EUROPE
VINCI Construction operates in the region through its local subsidiaries, notably in Poland, the Czech Republic and Slovakia. VINCI Construction is among the leaders in road and rail works in the Czech Republic. Its main competitors are Porr, Metrostav and Strabag

NORTH AMERICA
In Canada, VINCI Construction, together with its local entities, is one of the major players in road infrastructure works in Quebec, Alberta and British Columbia. Its main competitors are subsidiaries of Colas, CRH and Holcim, as well as local companies. In the United States, VINCI Construction, together with its local entities, is a market leader in roadworks on the east coast, with operations in 10 eastern states and in Texas. For construction works, its main competitors are Archer Western Contractors (Walsh Group) and Lane Construction (Webuild); for the manufacture and application of asphalt concrete, it competes against Preferred Materials (CRH) and a large number of regional players.

AFRICA
Operating in some 20 countries, VINCI Construction is a major player, through its subsidiary Sogea-Satom, in Central Africa, West Africa, Equatorial Africa and East Africa.

OCEANIA
VINCI Construction is a major player in the New Zealand and Australian infrastructure markets through its subsidiaries HEB Construction and Seymour Whyte.Source: internal studies, company literature.

Last updated: 13/03/2024